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Other examples Insurance is statistically a bad bet for the player who has no direct knowledge nor estimation (e.g. through card counting) of the dealer's 'hole card' because Insurance has a negative expected value for the player. Even for the player who has been dealt a natural (a two-card 21) it is unwise to take Insurance. In such a case, the dealer usually asks the player "Even money?" This means that instead of 3:2, the player with the natural accepts to be paid off at 2:2. Thus it is exactly the same thing as buying Insurance, losing the Insurance bet and getting paid 3:2 on the natural. (If the player with the natural refuses "even money", and the dealer turns over a natural, it is a tie.) These are common misunderstandings that arise in everyday reasoning about probabilities, many of which have been studied in great detail. Many people lose money while gambling due to their erroneous belief in this fallacy. Although the gambler's fallacy can apply to any form of gambling, it is easiest to illustrate by considering coin-tossing; its rebuttal can be summarised with the phrase "the coin doesn't have a memory". Bingo For lots and lots of people online casinos are way more attractive than the "real" land casinos. Here's why: Bodog Casino just launched their play-in-browser games, which are 100% Mac compatible. As I write this I just got done playing blackjack there for $25/hand. It works in free-play mode too, if you want to play with fake money. After all the players have finished making their decisions, the dealer then reveals his or her hidden hole card and plays the hand. House rules say that the dealer must hit until he or she has at least 17, regardless of what the players have. In most casinos a dealer must also hit a soft 17 (such as an ace and a 6). The felt of the table will indicate whether or not the house hits or stands on a soft 17. It might be pointed out that where economic activity is concentrated in transfers of wealth rather than its creation, gambler's ruin results in most of the wealth being held by a very small number of participants. We see this in the stock market when speculative activity is the norm rather than long-term dividend producing investment Hit: Take another card. In December of 1999 I wrote the story below about Fred Marino suing Discover Card. In the wake of that lawsuit, last week Discover Card signed an agreement in California Superior court it will not operate merchant accounts with online casino companies that may do business with California residents. Since it is hard to tell if the customer is from California this may mean that players will not be able finance their online gambling with a Discover Card.
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